Vietnam | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
GDP Growth Rate	7.01	6.8	6.7	6.7	6.62	6.9	percent	[+]
Unemployment Rate	2.31	2.36	2.2	2.4	1.65	2.31	percent	[+]
Inflation Rate	2.40	2.9	3.1	3.3	2.92	3	percent	[+]
Interest Rate	6.50	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.9	5	percent	[+]
Balance of Trade	-100.00	180	344	-152	-173	622	USD Million	[+]
Government Debt to GDP	50.50	54.6	54.58	54.8	55.02	63.08	percent	[+]

MARKETS	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Currency	21882.00	22400	22600	22800	22195	26300		[+]
Stock Market	640.00	609	603	597	632	498	points	[+]
Government Bond 10y	6.90	7.08	7.15	7.22	6.88	8.33	percent	[+]
GDP	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
GDP Growth Rate	7.01	6.8	6.7	6.7	6.62	6.9	percent	[+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate	5.55	5.8	6	6.2	5.73	6.2	percent	[+]
GDP	186.20	218	218	218	200	289	USD Billion	[+]
GDP Constant Prices	563761.00	1302045	2081546	3071414	600457	3719434	VND Billion	[+]
Gross National Product	3433515.00	3791695	3931367	4041990	4152612	5823583	VND Billion	[+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation	938400.00	1102514	1144379	1236859	1095811	1463371	VND Billion	[+]
GDP per capita	1077.91	1113	1125	1137	1148	1361	USD	[+]
GDP per capita PPP	5370.14	5569	5633	5696	5759	7061	USD	[+]
GDP From Agriculture	97253.00	468741	714785	103457	149079	943624	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Construction	39653.00	150397	232384	45384	116344	269111	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Manufacturing	127955.00	405611	585805	287456	353859	614901	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Mining	78246.00	267120	403903	77450	230416	490301	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Public Administration	106138.00	118137	119786	124560	117553	144933	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Services	370846.00	1170571	1683947	412056	944341	1893213	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Transport	25113.00	83774	118452	27045	41130	145251	VND Billion	[+]
GDP From Utilities	173533.00	176972	176972	189360	224109	228088	VND Billion	[+]
LABOUR	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Unemployment Rate	2.31	2.36	2.2	2.4	1.65	2.31	percent	[+]
Employed Persons	53.50	54.26	54.51	54.73	55	58.39	Million	[+]
Unemployed Persons	1.09	1.2	1.1	1.1	0.89	1.1	Million	[+]
Minimum Wages	3500.00	3500	3500	3500	3500	5000	VND Thousand/Month	[+]
Population	91.70	92.44	92.66	92.89	93.13	96.31	Million	[+]
Retirement Age Men	60.00	60	60	60	60	60		[+]
Retirement Age Women	55.00	55	55	55	55	55		[+]
Wages	4664.00	5468	5175	5275	4848	6686	VND Thousand/Month	[+]
Wages High Skilled	9000000.00	9200000	9200000	9200000	9000000	11400000	VND/Month	[+]
Wages In Manufacturing	5356.70	5042	5292	5209	5209	6409	VND Thousand/Month	[+]
Youth Unemployment Rate	7.21	6.6	6.5	6.5	7.5	6.13	percent	[+]
PRICES	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Inflation Rate	2.40	2.9	3.1	3.3	2.92	3	percent	[+]
Consumer Price Index CPI	102.52	103	104	104	89.3	119	Index Points	[+]
Core Inflation Rate	1.88	2	2.1	2.1	1.93	1.82	percent	[+]
GDP Deflator	146.07	150	147	147	147	163	Index Points	[+]
Export Prices	101.10	98.3	99	99	103	104	Index Points	[+]
Import Prices	98.95	100	101	101	103	103	Index Points	[+]
Cpi Transportation	82.48	74.8	75	75.8	83.17	101	Index Points	[+]
Food Inflation	2.75	0.7	0.78	0.78	2.8	2.2	percent	[+]
Inflation Rate Mom	0.46	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.46	0.2	percent	[+]
Producer Prices	98.99	99.44	99.77	99.79	99.9	105	Index Points	[+]
MONEY	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Interest Rate	6.50	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.9	5	percent	[+]
Interbank Rate	4.15	5	4.8	5.51	4.3	3.9	percent	[+]
Money Supply M0	624832.00	689718	711259	721968	732677	998022	VND Billion	[+]
Money Supply M1	4613262.00	6260197	6260197	6260197	6260197	10035683	VND Billion	[+]
Money Supply M2	5179216.00	6730391	6730391	6730391	4873556	11061317	VND Billion	[+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves	34124.62	41832	36250	36343	36436	42901	USD Million	[+]
Deposit Interest Rate	5.76	3.67	3.67	3.67	3.17	2.5	percent	[+]
TRADE	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Balance of Trade	-100.00	180	344	-152	-173	622	USD Million	[+]
Exports	14800.00	14187	14336	14454	14415	18145	USD Million	[+]
Imports	14900.00	15510	15495	15495	14692	18674	USD Million	[+]
Current Account	1077.00	974	1105	1362	573	2727	USD Million	[+]
Current Account to GDP	0.30	1.2	1.2	0.5	2.02	1.5	percent	[+]
External Debt	45243.00	49638	49875	49875	27610	51244	USD Million	[+]
Terms of Trade	102.18	102	102	102	101	101	Index Points	[+]
Foreign Direct Investment	2740.40	3852	3912	3843	3864	9008	USD Million	[+]
Capital Flows	1248.00	964	964	964	964	964		[+]
Crude Oil Production	333.00	330	332	332	332	360	BBL/D/1K	[+]
Tourist Arrivals	820.50	755	801	801	708	1081	Thousand	[+]
Terrorism Index	0.00	0	0	0	0	0		[+]
GOVERNMENT	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Government Debt to GDP	50.50	54.6	54.58	54.8	55.02	63.08	percent	[+]
Government Budget	-5.40	-5.51	-5.58	-5.58	-5.37	-5.37	percent of GDP	[+]
Government Budget Value	-171932.00	-180632	-180632	-184606	-168666	-197280	VND Billion	[+]
Government Spending	246700.00	264394	268760	273794	278828	341567	VND Billion	[+]
Government Revenues	857087.00	880406	884204	892067	899929	1017818	VND Billion	[+]
Fiscal Expenditure	1008572.00	1057414	1059441	1059441	1059441	1150136	VND Billion	[+]
Military Expenditure	4580.50	4519	4480	4440	4486	4513	USD Million	[+]
BUSINESS	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Manufacturing PMI	52.60	50.5	51.4	51.4	52.19	54		[+]
Industrial Production	7.40	8.73	8.9	8.9	7.74	6.9	percent	[+]
Manufacturing Production	8.80	8.7	9.05	8.37	8.37	8.5	percent	[+]
Changes in Inventories	118200.00	134039	136724	144362	131391	169992	VND Billion	[+]
Car Registrations	22553.00	25745	29075	20047	22050	55461	Cars	[+]
Competitiveness Index	4.30	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.19	4.7	Points	[+]
Competitiveness Rank	56.00	62	62	62	75.72	70		[+]
Ease of Doing Business	90.00	87	87	87	93.32	78		[+]
Electricity Production	15800.00	14670	14635	14684	14686	14683	Gigawatt-hour	[+]
Corruption Index	31.00	30.98	31.01	31.03	31.02	37	Points	[+]
Corruption Rank	112.00	113	112	111	110	109		[+]
Mining Production	-2.20	4	-0.87	-0.7	-0.59	5.6	percent	[+]
CONSUMER	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Retail Sales Yoy	10.20	6.8	8.5	8.5	11.51	12.4	percent	[+]
Consumer Spending	2591337.00	2774297	2838285	2897955	2957625	3954380	VND Billion	[+]
Consumer Confidence	144.80	142	143	145	142	142		[+]
Gasoline Prices	0.72	0.7	0.69	0.7	0.7	0.62	USD/Liter	[+]
Retail Sales Mom	3.69	-0.8	8.39	8.39	2.48	6.9	percent	[+]
TAXES	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Corporate Tax Rate	22.00	22	22	22	22	22	percent	[+]
Personal Income Tax Rate	35.00	35	35	35	35	35	percent	[+]
Sales Tax Rate	10.00	10	10	10	10	10	percent	[+]
Social Security Rate	26.00	26	26	26	26	26	percent	[+]
Social Security Rate For Companies	18.00	18	18	18	18	18	percent	[+]
Social Security Rate For Employees	8.00	8	8	8	8	8	percent	[+]

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